IMAS: PSD scade, PNL creste, PDL – pe duca

IMAS: PSD scade, PNL creste, PDL – pe duca

by February 17, 2011 41 comments

Potrivit unui sondaj IMAS, pentru luna ianuarie, pe primul loc in preferintele electorale se afla PSD cu 30,9%, urmat indeaproape de PNL cu 25,6%, si de abia pe locul trei se plaseaza PDL cu 16,7%. In Parlament ar putea intra si Partidul Poporului, condus de Dan Diaconescu, cu 9,9%, dar si PRM cu 6,3%, care astfel s-ar putea intoarce in Legislativ. In schimb, acest sondaj releva faptul ca UDMR ar ramane in afara Parlamentului, fiind acum cotat la 4,6% din preferintele electoratului. PC de abia aduna 2,9 procente, iar UNPR, prezenta insignifianta 0.1%.

Sondajul IMAS aduce argumente in favoarea dorintei rapide a PSD de a se ralia cu PNL, in conditiile in care nu poate aduna o majoritate confortabila pentru a putea forma singur viitorul  guvern, care ar rezulta in urma unor alegeri generale. De asemenea, putem constata ca social-democratii, desi in opozitie, nu au reusit sa creasca in intentia de vot. Din contra, anul trecut PSD era plasat mult mai bine in sondaje: peste 40%, ceea ce ar insemna o scadere cu 10 procente.

In schimb, marele castigator al politicii de opozitie, care profita de caderea drastica a PDL, este PNL, care ajunge la un scor record pentru politica de dupa Revolutie: 25,6%. Cu alte cuvinte, liberalii sufla in ceafa social-democratilor si, tinand cont de evolutia din ultima perioada a preferintelor electoratului, este chiar posibil sa depaseasca PSD-ul.

Drept urmare, pe termen mediu, PNL poate pierde in urma deciziei de a se alia cu PSD. In primul rand, deoarece evolutia constanta a acestui partid va fi estompata si se va pierde in noua construtie politica, USL, iar in al doilea rand – nu va profita de preluarea de la PDL a electoratului de dreapta, inca foarte puternic in Romania.

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